Jaiprakash Associates is well set to be among the top five players in power, cement and real estate in India. Doubling of cement capacity in three years, launch of 13m sq ft residential projects in two years and expeditious award of thermal power projects to established E&C players lend credibility to the group’s ambitious expansion plans. Treasury stocks in the parent company and consolidation of all power assets under the listed subsidiary (Jaiprakash Hydropower Limited, or JHPL) provide funding flexibility. More than doubling of cement volumes over FY09-11 and peak construction at captive projects, we estimate, should yield 44% earnings CAGR over FY09-11, similar to growth rates achieved over FY05-09. We initiate with 'BUY' and an SOTP-based target price of Rs 250 per share. At our target price, the standalone entity would be valued at P/E of 8.4x FY10ii and 6.4x FY11ii.
Results of the company were above our estimates. JP Associates Limited reported sales of Rs.2,067.1 crore growth of 78.3% y-o-y mainly driven by Construction and Cement business which contributed 49% and 44% y-o-y respectively.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
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